TAB sports betting guide: Horse racing, AFLW premiership odds, Big Bash, A-League
SYDNEY jockey James McDonald will pilot favourite Kementari in Saturday’s Group 1 C.F. Orr Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield.
The $1.8 million-earning Godolphin entire is looking to snap an eight-start run of outs, having gone winless since his Randwick Guineas romp in March last year.
The impressive son of Lonhro has bounced around the distances recently, tackling black-type features from 1200-1600m. He trialled nicely at Randwick with McDonald on board to prepare for this first-up assignment.
C.F. ORR STAKES (1200m)
CAULFIELD, SATURDAY, 4.50PM
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
Kementari has raced at Caulfield three times, for two narrow placings in the Caulfield Guineas and Memsie Stakes. Former Darren Weir runners Land Of Plenty and Whispering Brook are rated highly, while Chris Waller’s consistent mare D’Argento has also attracted interest.
Triple Group 1-winning sprinter Redkirk Warrior will step up to 1400m as David Hayes and Tom Dabernig plot a course for the $5 million All-Star Mile at Flemington. Redkirk Warrior won over 1500m at Sandown in 2016.
Godolphin has a vice-like grip on the inaugural All-Star Mile, with star mare Alizee the $4.50 favourite for the 1600m feature. The Autumn Sun ($8) is being kept safe despite being a doubtful starter, while Grunt ($11) and Happy Clapper ($11) are also in the mix.
Urban Ruler ($101) is popular with the public (6897 votes) but not fancied in the market.
THE PUNT SPECIAL
Giannis Anteokounmpo and Bradley Beal to combine for 100 plus points, rebounds and assists in the Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards game at $5.
Market can be found under Todays Special on TAB app and website
Roos bound to flag favouritism
NORTH Melbourne fired an ominous shot at its AFLW rivals with last week’s five-goal blitz of Carlton. But the expansion team looks set to face a tougher rival in Greater Western Sydney when Round 2 begins on Friday.
The Giants were narrowly beaten last week in a shootout with the Brisbane Lions.
The Kangaroos — crunched into $3 favourites to win the premiership following their eye-catching debut — boast depth and multiple scoring options.
Perennial underperformer Collingwood must beat Melbourne on Saturday to avoid a 0-2 start after falling to Geelong last weekend.
The Magpies led early and had chances to clinch the win but failed to fire in the second half.
Fremantle will look to continue its promising start to the season with a win over the Lions after edging the Demons in energy-sapping conditions at Casey Fields last weekend.
Western Bulldogs host Geelong at Whitten Oval on Saturday night, while Carlton faces Adelaide at Ikon Park on Sunday. The Bulldogs were fortunate to get away with a one-point win over the wastefully inaccurate Crows.
Adelaide kicked 1.11 to the Bulldogs’ 2.6 at Norwood Oval.
The Lions ($4.50) are second favourites to win the crown, ahead of defending premiers Western Bulldogs ($6). Adelaide ($9) and Fremantle ($9) sit on the next line of betting.
Carlton is the $51 rank outsider, while the Magpies are $29.
Big prize for Gades
HOBART HURRICANES ($1.75) V MELBOURNE RENEGADES ($2.10)
BELLERIVE OVAL, THURSDAY, 7.30PM
MELBOURNE Renegades will climb to second on the Big Bash League ladder with a win over top team Hobart Hurricanes at Bellerive Oval.
Aaron Finch and Sam Harper led the Renegades to victory over the Hurricanes at Marvel Stadium earlier in the season. Quick Kane Richardson was the Renegades’ chief destroyer, picking up Matthew Wade and Alex Doolan cheaply. Slugger D’Arcy Short also missed out on that occasion.
Heat on Stars
GABBA, FRIDAY, 8.40PM
MELBOURNE Stars must win one of their two remaining matches to qualify for the Big Bash League finals. The Stars’ post-season hopes hang in the balance after a surprise loss to last-placed Perth Scorchers last week.
Stars batsmen Glenn Maxwell (62) and Marcus Stoinis (49) led a promising run chase against the Scorchers but the tail fell in a heap. The Stars fended off the inconsistent Heat last month to post a five-run victory at the MCG.
Heat slugger Chris Lynn failed to fire on that occasion, but in-form batsman Matt Renshaw, fresh off an unbeaten 90 from 50 deliveries against Adelaide Strikers last week, racked up 45.
Title favouritism at stake
AAMI PARK, SUNDAY, 5PM
A NEW A-League title favourite could be crowned at the end of Round 18 with Melbourne Victory hosting Perth Glory. With both teams coming off wins, the AAMI Park clash might be a sneak peek of a finals showdown.
Glory defeated Victory 3-0 in October but since then, both sides have gone from strength to strength. Victory secured a hard-fought 3-2 win over Central Coast last weekend, while Glory blasted Wellington 3-0.
Perth ($3.25) and Victory ($3.25) share top billing in TAB’s premiership markets, ahead of Sydney FC ($4), Melbourne City ($9) and Adelaide ($12). The Mariners scored twice in the first half before Victory countered with three of its own.
Injection of Maclaren power
MELBOURNE CITY ($2.15) V ADELAIDE UNITED ($3.10)
AAMI PARK, SATURDAY, 7.50PM
City, which failed to convert several chances during last week’s 2-0 loss to the Sky Blues, will use the game to blood Socceroos striker Jamie Maclaren.
Maclaren is back in Australia after a few seasons in Europe and will fill the void left by out-of-favour Uruguayan striker Bruno Fornaroli.
Adelaide promises to be a tough opponent after nailing four second-half goals last week to stun Brisbane Roar. City could leapfrog fourth-placed Adelaide on Saturday night, having taken the points with a 2-0 win at Hindmarsh Stadium on December 16.
MANCHESTER CITY ($1.50) v CHELSEA ($6.50)
ETIHAD STADIUM, MONDAY, 3am
MANCHESTER City’s title defence will have to go up another gear when it hosts Chelsea early Monday morning. Pep Guardiola’s team is a $1.50 favourite to maintain the pressure on Liverpool at the top of the Premier League, but Chelsea could give the Sky Blues a run for their money.
The Blues have beaten City in three of their past five clashes, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season at Stamford Bridge. Mauricio Sarri’s men have shown inconsistent form of late with losses to Arsenal and, surprisingly, Bournemouth coinciding with victories against Tottenham (in the League Cup) and their most recent outing, a 5-0 thrashing of Huddersfield.
With City having a congested schedule, going up against Everton tonight, this fixture could end in a stalemate. The draw ($4.20) looks a juicy option.
QUDOS BANK ARENA, FRIDAY, 7.50PM
MELBOURNE United is favoured to complete a season sweep of Andrew Bogut’s Sydney Kings in the Harbour City. The reigning NBL champions beat the Kings twice in Melbourne earlier in the season, by seven and two points respectively, and again in Sydney in December by five points. Another win would tighten Melbourne’s grip on the minor premiership with four regular season games to play.
Melbourne has stamped its authority on the competition, winning its past four by healthy margins to claim outright championship favouritism. The Kings, however, will go into the clash with renewed confidence after crushing Brisbane Bullets 107-91 last Sunday.
In-form United centres Josh Boone and Alex Pledger hold the key to shutting down Bogut, along with veteran David Barlow. Barlow has guarded Bogut previously, drawing the NBA title-winner outside the paint, where the shot-blocker is at his most effective.
HARNESS RACING TIP
ECHUCA, FRIDAY, 10.25PM
ROCKY CREED (RACE 9, NO.7)
It’s Echuca Cup night and this handy three-year-old looks to have found the right race at the back end of the program.
CRANBOURNE, SATURDAY, 7.57PM
ORSON ALLEN (RACE 6, BOX 3)
Stamped his authority on the Cranbourne Cup series with a scintillating heat win in 29.61s, just 0.01s outside the 520m track record. Will take some stopping in Saturday night’s Group 2 final.
YOU BETCHA with GILBERT GARDINER
Been a long time between wins for Godolphin star thoroughbred Kementari but the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes (1400m) is well within the Lonhro stallion’s hitting zone, especially with James McDonald in the saddle.
Melbourne United has won 17 of 19 games against the Sydney Kings and never lost in the Harbour City. United will go into the NBL blockbuster with a full head of steam, too, after winning the past four matches.
Odds: $5.50 Kings/United HT-FT double
Taking the shorts on the Hurricanes and Stars to get the job done in the Big Bash and Melbourne United to complete a season-sweep of the Sydney Kings. Tricky three year-old feature at Warwick Farm but Spin is way over the odds from smart Snowden yard and strong record fresh.
LEG 1 Hobart Hurricanes $1.70
LEG 2 Melbourne Stars $1.80
LEG 3 Melbourne United $1.85
LEG 4 Spin (Warwick Farm R5 No.3) $15
Think! About your choices. Call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or go to www.gamblinghelponline.org.au Don’t chase your losses. Walk away. Gamble responsibly.
Originally published as The Punt: Kementari tipped to end drought